世界の鉄源需要展望 ―エネルギー長期需給展望との比較考察―
小澤 純夫, 米澤 公敏, 月橋 文孝
pp. 715-727
抄録
To maintain the sustainable use of iron source, there are global challenges due to mass effect such as the recent rapid growth in steel consumption, a large impact on climate change etc. Although R&D of iron and steel has been made for years, there is still significant potential of technological innovation to solve those challenges with a greater unified effort by the industry-academic-government. Therefore, it is necessary for deciding the amount of R&D's investment to share the common world-wide iron source demand outlook based on engineered researches of mathematical modeling and continual improvement, which lag behind those of energy. As it is expected to improve models of long-term forecasting of world iron source demand, priority issues are to specify the driver which governs the demand, and formulate a simple and rational hypothesis of the linkage.
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